Illinois vs Northwestern 11/20/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Illinois winning 57% of simulations, and Northwestern 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Illinois commits fewer turnovers in 50% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Northwestern wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Mikel LeShoure is averaging 107 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Evan Watkins is averaging 293 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NW +7.5

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